Class 2026 · no season played yet · 2026-11-11
The 2026 dynasty rookie class: expectation vs reality
This class is still playing out. So far, fewer than 1 in 30 of its rookies have become a hit. Denzel Boston (WR) is the biggest riser.
Class 2026 means the players picked in the 2026 NFL draft. Hits and busts count their 2026-2028 seasons, and none has been played yet, so there are no hit or bust results for this class. "Two years later" means value in 2028, which is still to come, so that column fills in later.
So what: the 2026 rookies have not played an NFL season yet, so the only fair read is where the market priced them on rookie-draft day.
Superflex
● hit◆ bust● otherDots on the floor: no longer valued (value 0).
So what: Denzel Boston (1.12) is now worth 2.6× his slot; KC Concepcion (1.08) is now worth 1.7× his slot; Carnell Tate (1.02) is now worth 1.3× his slot; 25 of 76 are worth less than their slot predicted, and 4 are no longer listed.
Biggest overperformers
| Player | Rookie-draft slot | NFL draft pick | Slot expectation | Value now | Surplus | Best season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Boston WRRookie slot 1.12 · NFL round 2, pick 39 · expected 800 | 1.12 | Round 2, #39 | 800 | 2,069 | +1,269 | — |
| KC Concepcion WRRookie slot 1.08 · NFL round 1, pick 24 · expected 1,326 | 1.08 | Round 1, #24 | 1,326 | 2,214 | +888 | — |
| Carnell Tate WRRookie slot 1.02 · NFL round 1, pick 4 · expected 3,308 | 1.02 | Round 1, #4 | 3,308 | 4,187 | +879 | — |
| Jonah Coleman RBRookie slot 2.01 · NFL round 4, pick 108 · expected 361 | 2.01 | Round 4, #108 | 361 | 911 | +550 | — |
| Antonio Williams WRRookie slot 2.04 · NFL round 3, pick 71 · expected 257 | 2.04 | Round 3, #71 | 257 | 748 | +491 | — |
| Fernando Mendoza QBRookie slot 1.03 · NFL round 1, pick 1 · expected 2,617 | 1.03 | Round 1, #1 | 2,617 | 3,099 | +482 | — |
| De'Zhaun Stribling WRRookie slot 2.06 · NFL round 2, pick 33 · expected 146 | 2.06 | Round 2, #33 | 146 | 536 | +390 | — |
| Caleb Douglas WRRookie slot 4.07 · NFL round 3, pick 75 · expected 14 | 4.07 | Round 3, #75 | 14 | 403 | +389 | — |
| Germie Bernard WRRookie slot 2.05 · NFL round 2, pick 47 · expected 177 | 2.05 | Round 2, #47 | 177 | 559 | +382 | — |
| Omar Cooper WRRookie slot 1.09 · NFL round 1, pick 30 · expected 843 | 1.09 | Round 1, #30 | 843 | 1,130 | +287 | — |
Steepest falls so far
| Player | Rookie-draft slot | NFL draft pick | Slot expectation | Value now | Surplus | Best season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brazzell WRRookie slot 3.03 · NFL round 3, pick 83 · expected 77 | 3.03 | Round 3, #83 | 77 | 37 | −40 | — |
| Brenen Thompson WRRookie slot 4.04 · NFL round 4, pick 105 · expected 19 | 4.04 | Round 4, #105 | 19 | 12 | −7 | — |
| Jam Miller RBRookie slot 5.06 · NFL round 7, pick 245 · expected 5 | 5.06 | Round 7, #245 | 5 | 2 | −3 | — |
| Lewis Bond WRRookie slot 5.11 · NFL round 6, pick 204 · expected 3 | 5.11 | Round 6, #204 | 3 | 0 | −3 | — |
| Athan Kaliakmanis QBRookie slot 6.01 · NFL round 7, pick 223 · expected 3 | 6.01 | Round 7, #223 | 3 | 0 | −3 | — |
| Bauer Sharp TERookie slot 6.10 · NFL round 6, pick 185 · expected 2 | 6.10 | Round 6, #185 | 2 | 0 | −2 | — |
| Behren Morton QBRookie slot 6.12 · NFL round 7, pick 234 · expected 1 | 6.12 | Round 7, #234 | 1 | 0 | −1 | — |
So what: About 1 in 10 of the 2026 rookies busted; the costliest by slot is Chris Brazzell at 3.03.
The whole class
| Rookie-draft slot | Player | NFL draft pick | Age | Expected | +1y | +2y | +3y | Now | Best (PPR) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Jeremiyah Love RBNFL round 1, pick 3 · expected 6,950 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #3 | 20.9 | 6,950 | — | — | — | 6,605 | — | Open |
| 1.02 | Carnell Tate WRNFL round 1, pick 4 · expected 3,308 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #4 | 21.3 | 3,308 | — | — | — | 4,187 | — | Open |
| 1.03 | Fernando Mendoza QBNFL round 1, pick 1 · expected 2,617 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #1 | 22.6 | 2,617 | — | — | — | 3,099 | — | Open |
| 1.04 | Jordyn Tyson WRNFL round 1, pick 8 · expected 2,656 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #8 | 21.7 | 2,656 | — | — | — | 2,433 | — | Open |
| 1.05 | Makai Lemon WRNFL round 1, pick 20 · expected 2,786 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #20 | 21.9 | 2,786 | — | — | — | 2,059 | — | Open |
| 1.06 | Jadarian Price RBNFL round 1, pick 32 · expected 1,656 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #32 | 22.5 | 1,656 | — | — | — | 1,381 | — | Open |
| 1.07 | Kenyon Sadiq TENFL round 1, pick 16 · expected 1,438 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #16 | 21.1 | 1,438 | — | — | — | 1,272 | — | Open |
| 1.08 | KC Concepcion WRNFL round 1, pick 24 · expected 1,326 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #24 | 21.6 | 1,326 | — | — | — | 2,214 | — | Open |
| 1.09 | Omar Cooper WRNFL round 1, pick 30 · expected 843 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #30 | 22.4 | 843 | — | — | — | 1,130 | — | Open |
| 1.10 | Ty Simpson QBNFL round 1, pick 13 · expected 831 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #13 | 23.3 | 831 | — | — | — | 694 | — | Open |
| 1.11 | Eli Stowers TENFL round 2, pick 54 · expected 822 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #54 | 23.0 | 822 | — | — | — | 470 | — | Open |
| 1.12 | Denzel Boston WRNFL round 2, pick 39 · expected 800 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #39 | 22.4 | 800 | — | — | — | 2,069 | — | Open |
| 2.01 | Jonah Coleman RBNFL round 4, pick 108 · expected 361 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #108 | 22.7 | 361 | — | — | — | 911 | — | Open |
| 2.02 | Chris Bell WRNFL round 3, pick 94 · expected 335 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #94 | 21.9 | 335 | — | — | — | 494 | — | Open |
| 2.03 | Nicholas Singleton RBNFL round 5, pick 165 · expected 292 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #165 | 22.3 | 292 | — | — | — | 92 | — | Open |
| 2.04 | Antonio Williams WRNFL round 3, pick 71 · expected 257 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #71 | 21.8 | 257 | — | — | — | 748 | — | Open |
| 2.05 | Germie Bernard WRNFL round 2, pick 47 · expected 177 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #47 | 22.4 | 177 | — | — | — | 559 | — | Open |
| 2.06 | De'Zhaun Stribling WRNFL round 2, pick 33 · expected 146 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #33 | 23.4 | 146 | — | — | — | 536 | — | Open |
| 2.07 | Emmett Johnson RBNFL round 5, pick 161 · expected 142 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #161 | 22.5 | 142 | — | — | — | 283 | — | Open |
| 2.08 | Zachariah Branch WRNFL round 3, pick 79 · expected 105 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #79 | 22.1 | 105 | — | — | — | 66 | — | Open |
| 2.09 | Kaytron Allen RBNFL round 6, pick 187 · expected 100 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #187 | 23.3 | 100 | — | — | — | 48 | — | Open |
| 2.10 | Carson Beck QBNFL round 3, pick 65 · expected 90 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #65 | 23.4 | 90 | — | — | — | 174 | — | Open |
| 2.11 | Elijah Sarratt WRNFL round 4, pick 115 · expected 90 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #115 | 22.9 | 90 | — | — | — | 60 | — | Open |
| 2.12 | Malachi Fields WRNFL round 3, pick 74 · expected 90 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #74 | 22.7 | 90 | — | — | — | 170 | — | Open |
| 3.01 | Mike Washington RBNFL round 4, pick 122 · expected 82 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #122 | 22.8 | 82 | — | — | — | 237 | — | Open |
| 3.02 | Ted Hurst WRNFL round 3, pick 84 · expected 82 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #84 | 21.8 | 82 | — | — | — | 160 | — | Open |
| 3.03 | Chris Brazzell WRNFL round 3, pick 83 · expected 77 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #83 | 22.6 | 77 | — | — | — | 37 | — | Falling |
| 3.04 | Max Klare TENFL round 2, pick 61 · expected 73 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #61 | 22.8 | 73 | — | — | — | 125 | — | Open |
| 3.05 | Skyler Bell WRNFL round 4, pick 125 · expected 72 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #125 | 23.8 | 72 | — | — | — | 55 | — | Open |
| 3.06 | Ja'Kobi Lane WRNFL round 3, pick 80 · expected 69 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #80 | 22.0 | 69 | — | — | — | 256 | — | Open |
| 3.07 | Drew Allar QBNFL round 3, pick 76 · expected 62 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #76 | 22.1 | 62 | — | — | — | 30 | — | Open |
| 3.08 | Demond Claiborne RBNFL round 6, pick 198 · expected 61 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #198 | 22.5 | 61 | — | — | — | 33 | — | Open |
| 3.09 | Oscar Delp TENFL round 3, pick 73 · expected 49 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #73 | 22.7 | 49 | — | — | — | 94 | — | Open |
| 3.10 | Eli Raridon TENFL round 3, pick 95 · expected 41 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #95 | 22.2 | 41 | — | — | — | 204 | — | Open |
| 3.11 | Kaelon Black RBNFL round 3, pick 90 · expected 41 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #90 | 24.5 | 41 | — | — | — | 127 | — | Open |
| 3.12 | Cade Klubnik QBNFL round 4, pick 110 · expected 34 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #110 | 22.5 | 34 | — | — | — | 11 | — | Open |
| 4.01 | Adam Randall RBNFL round 5, pick 174 · expected 31 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #174 | 21.8 | 31 | — | — | — | 16 | — | Open |
| 4.02 | Justin Joly TENFL round 5, pick 152 · expected 25 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #152 | 21.8 | 25 | — | — | — | 21 | — | Open |
| 4.03 | Garrett Nussmeier QBNFL round 7, pick 249 · expected 24 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #249 | 24.2 | 24 | — | — | — | 8 | — | Open |
| 4.04 | Brenen Thompson WRNFL round 4, pick 105 · expected 19 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #105 | 22.8 | 19 | — | — | — | 12 | — | Falling |
| 4.05 | Kevin Coleman WRNFL round 5, pick 177 · expected 17 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #177 | 22.6 | 17 | — | — | — | 51 | — | Open |
| 4.06 | Bryce Lance WRNFL round 4, pick 136 · expected 16 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #136 | 23.7 | 16 | — | — | — | 48 | — | Open |
| 4.07 | Caleb Douglas WRNFL round 3, pick 75 · expected 14 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #75 | 22.6 | 14 | — | — | — | 403 | — | Open |
| 4.08 | Taylen Green QBNFL round 6, pick 182 · expected 11 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #182 | 23.5 | 11 | — | — | — | 7 | — | Open |
| 4.09 | Zavion Thomas WRNFL round 3, pick 89 · expected 10 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #89 | 22.2 | 10 | — | — | — | 10 | — | Open |
| 4.10 | Deion Burks WRNFL round 7, pick 254 · expected 9 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #254 | 23.3 | 9 | — | — | — | 7 | — | Open |
| 4.11 | Jack Endries TENFL round 7, pick 221 · expected 8 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #221 | 22.1 | 8 | — | — | — | 8 | — | Open |
| 4.12 | Cyrus Allen WRNFL round 5, pick 176 · expected 7 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #176 | 23.2 | 7 | — | — | — | 55 | — | Open |
| 5.01 | Seth McGowan RBNFL round 7, pick 237 · expected 7 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #237 | 24.5 | 7 | — | — | — | 35 | — | Open |
| 5.02 | Tanner Koziol TENFL round 5, pick 164 · expected 6 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #164 | 22.2 | 6 | — | — | — | 14 | — | Open |
| 5.03 | Will Kacmarek TENFL round 3, pick 87 · expected 6 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #87 | 23.2 | 6 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 5.04 | Matt Hibner TENFL round 4, pick 133 · expected 6 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #133 | 24.1 | 6 | — | — | — | 73 | — | Open |
| 5.05 | Marlin Klein TENFL round 2, pick 59 · expected 5 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #59 | 23.6 | 5 | — | — | — | 18 | — | Open |
| 5.06 | Jam Miller RBNFL round 7, pick 245 · expected 5 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #245 | 22.0 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | — | Falling |
| 5.07 | Cole Payton QBNFL round 5, pick 178 · expected 4 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #178 | 23.5 | 4 | — | — | — | 8 | — | Open |
| 5.08 | CJ Daniels WRNFL round 6, pick 197 · expected 4 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #197 | 24.3 | 4 | — | — | — | 8 | — | Open |
| 5.09 | Malik Benson WRNFL round 6, pick 195 · expected 4 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #195 | 23.5 | 4 | — | — | — | 16 | — | Open |
| 5.10 | Kaden Wetjen WRNFL round 4, pick 121 · expected 4 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #121 | 24.1 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | — | Open |
| 5.11 | Lewis Bond WRNFL round 6, pick 204 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #204 | 22.9 | 3 | — | — | — | 0 | — | Falling |
| 5.12 | Sam Roush TENFL round 3, pick 69 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #69 | 22.6 | 3 | — | — | — | 16 | — | Open |
| 6.01 | Athan Kaliakmanis QBNFL round 7, pick 223 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #223 | 22.7 | 3 | — | — | — | 0 | — | Falling |
| 6.02 | Carsen Ryan TENFL round 7, pick 248 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #248 | 22.7 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.03 | Seydou Traore TENFL round 5, pick 180 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #180 | 23.7 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.04 | Kendrick Law WRNFL round 5, pick 168 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #168 | 22.9 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.05 | Nate Boerkircher TENFL round 2, pick 56 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #56 | 24.6 | 3 | — | — | — | 8 | — | Open |
| 6.06 | Dallen Bentley TENFL round 7, pick 256 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #256 | 25.3 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.07 | Riley Nowakowski TENFL round 5, pick 169 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #169 | 23.8 | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.08 | Jaren Kanak TENFL round 7, pick 225 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #225 | 22.2 | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.09 | Reggie Virgil WRNFL round 5, pick 143 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #143 | 21.9 | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.10 | Bauer Sharp TENFL round 6, pick 185 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #185 | 23.0 | 2 | — | — | — | 0 | — | Falling |
| 6.11 | Barion Brown WRNFL round 6, pick 190 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #190 | 22.4 | 1 | — | — | — | 11 | — | Open |
| 6.12 | Behren Morton QBNFL round 7, pick 234 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #234 | 24.3 | 1 | — | — | — | 0 | — | Falling |
| 7.01 | Joe Royer TENFL round 5, pick 170 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #170 | 24.2 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 7.02 | Josh Cuevas TENFL round 5, pick 173 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #173 | 22.6 | 1 | — | — | — | 9 | — | Open |
| 7.03 | Josh Cameron WRNFL round 6, pick 191 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #191 | 23.1 | 1 | — | — | — | 22 | — | Open |
| 7.04 | Colbie Young WRNFL round 4, pick 140 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #140 | 23.8 | 1 | — | — | — | 10 | — | Open |
1QB
● hit◆ bust● otherDots on the floor: no longer valued (value 0).
So what: Denzel Boston (1.10) is now worth 3.1× his slot; KC Concepcion (1.06) is now worth 1.8× his slot; Carnell Tate (1.02) is now worth 1.2× his slot; 21 of 76 are worth less than their slot predicted, and 4 are no longer listed.
Biggest overperformers
| Player | Rookie-draft slot | NFL draft pick | Slot expectation | Value now | Surplus | Best season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Boston WRRookie slot 1.10 · NFL round 2, pick 39 · expected 734 | 1.10 | Round 2, #39 | 734 | 2,281 | +1,547 | — |
| KC Concepcion WRRookie slot 1.06 · NFL round 1, pick 24 · expected 1,300 | 1.06 | Round 1, #24 | 1,300 | 2,380 | +1,080 | — |
| Carnell Tate WRRookie slot 1.02 · NFL round 1, pick 4 · expected 3,675 | 1.02 | Round 1, #4 | 3,675 | 4,530 | +855 | — |
| Antonio Williams WRRookie slot 2.04 · NFL round 3, pick 71 · expected 168 | 2.04 | Round 3, #71 | 168 | 775 | +607 | — |
| Jonah Coleman RBRookie slot 1.12 · NFL round 4, pick 108 · expected 316 | 1.12 | Round 4, #108 | 316 | 919 | +603 | — |
| Makai Lemon WRRookie slot 1.05 · NFL round 1, pick 20 · expected 1,701 | 1.05 | Round 1, #20 | 1,701 | 2,136 | +435 | — |
| De'Zhaun Stribling WRRookie slot 2.06 · NFL round 2, pick 33 · expected 144 | 2.06 | Round 2, #33 | 144 | 559 | +415 | — |
| Germie Bernard WRRookie slot 2.05 · NFL round 2, pick 47 · expected 146 | 2.05 | Round 2, #47 | 146 | 529 | +383 | — |
| Caleb Douglas WRRookie slot 4.03 · NFL round 3, pick 75 · expected 17 | 4.03 | Round 3, #75 | 17 | 390 | +373 | — |
| Omar Cooper WRRookie slot 1.09 · NFL round 1, pick 30 · expected 810 | 1.09 | Round 1, #30 | 810 | 1,143 | +333 | — |
Steepest falls so far
| Player | Rookie-draft slot | NFL draft pick | Slot expectation | Value now | Surplus | Best season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brazzell WRRookie slot 3.03 · NFL round 3, pick 83 · expected 65 | 3.03 | Round 3, #83 | 65 | 32 | −33 | — |
| Brenen Thompson WRRookie slot 3.11 · NFL round 4, pick 105 · expected 25 | 3.11 | Round 4, #105 | 25 | 7 | −18 | — |
| Justin Joly TERookie slot 4.01 · NFL round 5, pick 152 · expected 19 | 4.01 | Round 5, #152 | 19 | 5 | −14 | — |
| Bauer Sharp TERookie slot 5.04 · NFL round 6, pick 185 · expected 3 | 5.04 | Round 6, #185 | 3 | 0 | −3 | — |
| Behren Morton QBRookie slot 5.09 · NFL round 7, pick 234 · expected 2 | 5.09 | Round 7, #234 | 2 | 0 | −2 | — |
| Lewis Bond WRRookie slot 6.01 · NFL round 6, pick 204 · expected 2 | 6.01 | Round 6, #204 | 2 | 0 | −2 | — |
| Athan Kaliakmanis QBRookie slot 7.01 · NFL round 7, pick 223 · expected 1 | 7.01 | Round 7, #223 | 1 | 0 | −1 | — |
So what: About 1 in 10 of the 2026 rookies busted; the costliest by slot is Chris Brazzell at 3.03.
The whole class
| Rookie-draft slot | Player | NFL draft pick | Age | Expected | +1y | +2y | +3y | Now | Best (PPR) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Jeremiyah Love RBNFL round 1, pick 3 · expected 7,442 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #3 | 20.9 | 7,442 | — | — | — | 6,755 | — | Open |
| 1.02 | Carnell Tate WRNFL round 1, pick 4 · expected 3,675 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #4 | 21.3 | 3,675 | — | — | — | 4,530 | — | Open |
| 1.03 | Jordyn Tyson WRNFL round 1, pick 8 · expected 2,890 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #8 | 21.7 | 2,890 | — | — | — | 2,465 | — | Open |
| 1.04 | Jadarian Price RBNFL round 1, pick 32 · expected 2,814 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #32 | 22.5 | 2,814 | — | — | — | 1,540 | — | Open |
| 1.05 | Makai Lemon WRNFL round 1, pick 20 · expected 1,701 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #20 | 21.9 | 1,701 | — | — | — | 2,136 | — | Open |
| 1.06 | KC Concepcion WRNFL round 1, pick 24 · expected 1,300 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #24 | 21.6 | 1,300 | — | — | — | 2,380 | — | Open |
| 1.07 | Kenyon Sadiq TENFL round 1, pick 16 · expected 1,216 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #16 | 21.1 | 1,216 | — | — | — | 1,295 | — | Open |
| 1.08 | Fernando Mendoza QBNFL round 1, pick 1 · expected 873 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #1 | 22.6 | 873 | — | — | — | 791 | — | Open |
| 1.09 | Omar Cooper WRNFL round 1, pick 30 · expected 810 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #30 | 22.4 | 810 | — | — | — | 1,143 | — | Open |
| 1.10 | Denzel Boston WRNFL round 2, pick 39 · expected 734 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #39 | 22.4 | 734 | — | — | — | 2,281 | — | Open |
| 1.11 | Eli Stowers TENFL round 2, pick 54 · expected 533 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #54 | 23.0 | 533 | — | — | — | 492 | — | Open |
| 1.12 | Jonah Coleman RBNFL round 4, pick 108 · expected 316 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #108 | 22.7 | 316 | — | — | — | 919 | — | Open |
| 2.01 | Nicholas Singleton RBNFL round 5, pick 165 · expected 298 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #165 | 22.3 | 298 | — | — | — | 88 | — | Open |
| 2.02 | Emmett Johnson RBNFL round 5, pick 161 · expected 271 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #161 | 22.5 | 271 | — | — | — | 288 | — | Open |
| 2.03 | Chris Bell WRNFL round 3, pick 94 · expected 220 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #94 | 21.9 | 220 | — | — | — | 523 | — | Open |
| 2.04 | Antonio Williams WRNFL round 3, pick 71 · expected 168 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #71 | 21.8 | 168 | — | — | — | 775 | — | Open |
| 2.05 | Germie Bernard WRNFL round 2, pick 47 · expected 146 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #47 | 22.4 | 146 | — | — | — | 529 | — | Open |
| 2.06 | De'Zhaun Stribling WRNFL round 2, pick 33 · expected 144 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #33 | 23.4 | 144 | — | — | — | 559 | — | Open |
| 2.07 | Zachariah Branch WRNFL round 3, pick 79 · expected 111 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #79 | 22.1 | 111 | — | — | — | 50 | — | Open |
| 2.08 | Ty Simpson QBNFL round 1, pick 13 · expected 102 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 1, #13 | 23.3 | 102 | — | — | — | 194 | — | Open |
| 2.09 | Mike Washington RBNFL round 4, pick 122 · expected 89 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #122 | 22.8 | 89 | — | — | — | 210 | — | Open |
| 2.10 | Kaytron Allen RBNFL round 6, pick 187 · expected 79 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #187 | 23.3 | 79 | — | — | — | 27 | — | Open |
| 2.11 | Elijah Sarratt WRNFL round 4, pick 115 · expected 75 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #115 | 22.9 | 75 | — | — | — | 50 | — | Open |
| 2.12 | Ja'Kobi Lane WRNFL round 3, pick 80 · expected 74 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #80 | 22.0 | 74 | — | — | — | 267 | — | Open |
| 3.01 | Ted Hurst WRNFL round 3, pick 84 · expected 72 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #84 | 21.8 | 72 | — | — | — | 127 | — | Open |
| 3.02 | Malachi Fields WRNFL round 3, pick 74 · expected 71 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #74 | 22.7 | 71 | — | — | — | 161 | — | Open |
| 3.03 | Chris Brazzell WRNFL round 3, pick 83 · expected 65 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #83 | 22.6 | 65 | — | — | — | 32 | — | Falling |
| 3.04 | Max Klare TENFL round 2, pick 61 · expected 64 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #61 | 22.8 | 64 | — | — | — | 126 | — | Open |
| 3.05 | Skyler Bell WRNFL round 4, pick 125 · expected 62 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #125 | 23.8 | 62 | — | — | — | 40 | — | Open |
| 3.06 | Demond Claiborne RBNFL round 6, pick 198 · expected 52 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #198 | 22.5 | 52 | — | — | — | 17 | — | Open |
| 3.07 | Kaelon Black RBNFL round 3, pick 90 · expected 51 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #90 | 24.5 | 51 | — | — | — | 127 | — | Open |
| 3.08 | Adam Randall RBNFL round 5, pick 174 · expected 46 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #174 | 21.8 | 46 | — | — | — | 8 | — | Open |
| 3.09 | Carson Beck QBNFL round 3, pick 65 · expected 31 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #65 | 23.4 | 31 | — | — | — | 27 | — | Open |
| 3.10 | Oscar Delp TENFL round 3, pick 73 · expected 29 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #73 | 22.7 | 29 | — | — | — | 87 | — | Open |
| 3.11 | Brenen Thompson WRNFL round 4, pick 105 · expected 25 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #105 | 22.8 | 25 | — | — | — | 7 | — | Falling |
| 3.12 | Eli Raridon TENFL round 3, pick 95 · expected 22 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #95 | 22.2 | 22 | — | — | — | 210 | — | Open |
| 4.01 | Justin Joly TENFL round 5, pick 152 · expected 19 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #152 | 21.8 | 19 | — | — | — | 5 | — | Falling |
| 4.02 | Drew Allar QBNFL round 3, pick 76 · expected 18 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #76 | 22.1 | 18 | — | — | — | 8 | — | Open |
| 4.03 | Caleb Douglas WRNFL round 3, pick 75 · expected 17 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #75 | 22.6 | 17 | — | — | — | 390 | — | Open |
| 4.04 | Kevin Coleman WRNFL round 5, pick 177 · expected 12 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #177 | 22.6 | 12 | — | — | — | 46 | — | Open |
| 4.05 | Cyrus Allen WRNFL round 5, pick 176 · expected 7 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #176 | 23.2 | 7 | — | — | — | 40 | — | Open |
| 4.06 | Bryce Lance WRNFL round 4, pick 136 · expected 7 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #136 | 23.7 | 7 | — | — | — | 39 | — | Open |
| 4.07 | CJ Daniels WRNFL round 6, pick 197 · expected 7 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #197 | 24.3 | 7 | — | — | — | 4 | — | Open |
| 4.08 | Cade Klubnik QBNFL round 4, pick 110 · expected 7 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #110 | 22.5 | 7 | — | — | — | 13 | — | Open |
| 4.09 | Garrett Nussmeier QBNFL round 7, pick 249 · expected 6 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #249 | 24.2 | 6 | — | — | — | 6 | — | Open |
| 4.10 | Jack Endries TENFL round 7, pick 221 · expected 5 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #221 | 22.1 | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | Open |
| 4.11 | Jam Miller RBNFL round 7, pick 245 · expected 5 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #245 | 22.0 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | — | Open |
| 4.12 | Zavion Thomas WRNFL round 3, pick 89 · expected 4 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #89 | 22.2 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | — | Open |
| 5.01 | Deion Burks WRNFL round 7, pick 254 · expected 4 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #254 | 23.3 | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | Open |
| 5.02 | Seth McGowan RBNFL round 7, pick 237 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #237 | 24.5 | 3 | — | — | — | 26 | — | Open |
| 5.03 | Matt Hibner TENFL round 4, pick 133 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #133 | 24.1 | 3 | — | — | — | 66 | — | Open |
| 5.04 | Bauer Sharp TENFL round 6, pick 185 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #185 | 23.0 | 3 | — | — | — | 0 | — | Falling |
| 5.05 | Jaren Kanak TENFL round 7, pick 225 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #225 | 22.2 | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | — | Open |
| 5.06 | Nate Boerkircher TENFL round 2, pick 56 · expected 3 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #56 | 24.6 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 5.07 | Colbie Young WRNFL round 4, pick 140 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #140 | 23.8 | 2 | — | — | — | 5 | — | Open |
| 5.08 | Riley Nowakowski TENFL round 5, pick 169 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #169 | 23.8 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | Open |
| 5.09 | Behren Morton QBNFL round 7, pick 234 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #234 | 24.3 | 2 | — | — | — | 0 | — | Falling |
| 5.10 | Josh Cuevas TENFL round 5, pick 173 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #173 | 22.6 | 2 | — | — | — | 5 | — | Open |
| 5.11 | Reggie Virgil WRNFL round 5, pick 143 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #143 | 21.9 | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 5.12 | Carsen Ryan TENFL round 7, pick 248 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #248 | 22.7 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | Open |
| 6.01 | Lewis Bond WRNFL round 6, pick 204 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #204 | 22.9 | 2 | — | — | — | 0 | — | Falling |
| 6.02 | Will Kacmarek TENFL round 3, pick 87 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #87 | 23.2 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | Open |
| 6.03 | Barion Brown WRNFL round 6, pick 190 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #190 | 22.4 | 2 | — | — | — | 6 | — | Open |
| 6.04 | Cole Payton QBNFL round 5, pick 178 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #178 | 23.5 | 2 | — | — | — | 18 | — | Open |
| 6.05 | Kendrick Law WRNFL round 5, pick 168 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #168 | 22.9 | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.06 | Josh Cameron WRNFL round 6, pick 191 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #191 | 23.1 | 2 | — | — | — | 15 | — | Open |
| 6.07 | Kaden Wetjen WRNFL round 4, pick 121 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 4, #121 | 24.1 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | Open |
| 6.08 | Marlin Klein TENFL round 2, pick 59 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 2, #59 | 23.6 | 2 | — | — | — | 9 | — | Open |
| 6.09 | Taylen Green QBNFL round 6, pick 182 · expected 2 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #182 | 23.5 | 2 | — | — | — | 9 | — | Open |
| 6.10 | Seydou Traore TENFL round 5, pick 180 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #180 | 23.7 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 6.11 | Malik Benson WRNFL round 6, pick 195 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 6, #195 | 23.5 | 1 | — | — | — | 7 | — | Open |
| 6.12 | Dallen Bentley TENFL round 7, pick 256 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #256 | 25.3 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
| 7.01 | Athan Kaliakmanis QBNFL round 7, pick 223 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 7, #223 | 22.7 | 1 | — | — | — | 0 | — | Falling |
| 7.02 | Tanner Koziol TENFL round 5, pick 164 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #164 | 22.2 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | — | Open |
| 7.03 | Sam Roush TENFL round 3, pick 69 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 3, #69 | 22.6 | 1 | — | — | — | 9 | — | Open |
| 7.04 | Joe Royer TENFL round 5, pick 170 · expected 1 · a year later —, two years —, three years — | Round 5, #170 | 24.2 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | Open |
About these numbers
We compare what the market expected from each rookie on rookie-draft day with how he did over his first three NFL seasons. A hit is a top-end season, a bust never had one and lost most of his value, and everyone else is in between. Only classes whose three seasons are over count in the headline numbers. The full method is in our public notes. A dash in a later-year column means that date has not arrived yet, and 0 means he is no longer valued.
Values come from the market, Sleeper season totals and nflverse draft capital.