BIG BOARD DYNASTY

TE · DAL · age 27.8

Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson: dynasty value clearly lower than 30 days ago; TE25 in Superflex

Dynasty verdict: Falling but still priced above Our Value — the market has not caught down to our model. (30 days: clearly lower; market a bit above Our Value.)

Superflex value
1,116TE25 · #189 overall (12-team PPR)
1QB value
976TE26 · #190 overall (12-team PPR)
Age
27.8TE · DAL · age 27.8
Team
DALTE

How his value moved (Superflex)

7 days
▼ Clearly lowermarket value
30 days
▼ Clearly lowermarket value
1 year
▼ Far lowermarket value

Dynasty value over time

Clearly lower over the last month · Jake Ferguson · Superflex
1k1.2k1.4k1.6kOct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Far lower over the last 3 months · Jake Ferguson · Superflex
1k1.5k2k2.5kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower over the last year · Jake Ferguson · Superflex
01k2k3k4kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher since May 2022 · Jake Ferguson · Superflex
02k4k6k2022202320252026Trade valuedaily from here
Clearly lower over the last month · Jake Ferguson · 1QB
8001k1.2k1.4kOct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Far lower over the last 3 months · Jake Ferguson · 1QB
5001k1.5k2k2.5kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower over the last year · Jake Ferguson · 1QB
01k2k3k4kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher since May 2022 · Jake Ferguson · 1QB
02k4k6k2022202320252026Trade valuedaily from here

History: Our Value history: weekly before 2026-09-29, daily from then. Before the daily values began the line follows the weekly blend, rescaled to meet the daily line where they join.

Market vs Our Value

Superflex
1,116market · Our Value 1,028
1QB
976market · Our Value 924

The market prices him a bit above Our Value. Market = the trade market's value (12-team PPR).

What Jake Ferguson has actually traded for

Based on 40 real trades in the last 90 days where he was the main piece, Jake Ferguson fetched clearly less than his listed value.

In today's points, that is about 937 against a listed value of 1,116.

Three real packages

  1. 2027 2nd + 2027 3rd · Sep 2026
  2. 2027 2nd · Sep 2026
  3. Aaron Jones (RB) + 2027 3rd · Oct 2026

Based on 40 real trades in 40 public Sleeper dynasty leagues. Only trades where he was the main piece count, each valued on the day it happened. Listed value now: 1,116 · Our Value 1,028. Trades that look lopsided or collusive are left out, and trades with an asset we cannot price are not counted. See what managers are trading this week.

See every real trade for Jake Ferguson →

Expectation vs reality (2022 rookie class)

Drafted as TE12 at 6.04; now worth about a mid 2nd (the 2.05 slot): +380 points over his slot value.

Value vs the slot expectation (Superflex)
0200400600800slot expectation 3Draft+1y+2y+3yNow

Best season: TE9 in 2023 (PPR), 10.4 PPG vs 2.1 expected at his slot. Hit: a top-12 TE season (TE9) in 2023.

Slot expectation = the market value of his rookie-draft slot (Superflex) times the realized-return calibration behind the Draft ROI grade. Values from our stored Our Value history. See the 2022 class and every class.

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