BIG BOARD DYNASTY

WR · IND · age 25.3

Josh Downs

Josh Downs: dynasty value clearly higher than 30 days ago; WR35 in Superflex

Dynasty verdict: Rising and already priced above Our Value — the market is ahead of our model. (30 days: clearly higher; market a bit above Our Value.)

Superflex value
2,057WR35 · #98 overall (12-team PPR)
1QB value
2,010WR36 · #92 overall (12-team PPR)
Age
25.3WR · IND · age 25.3
Team
INDWR

How his value moved (Superflex)

7 days
▲ Clearly highermarket value
30 days
▲ Clearly highermarket value
1 year
▼ Far lowermarket value

Dynasty value over time

Clearly higher over the last month · Josh Downs · Superflex
1.4k1.6k1.8k2k2.2kOct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Clearly lower over the last 3 months · Josh Downs · Superflex
1k1.5k2k2.5k3kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower over the last year · Josh Downs · Superflex
1k2k3k4kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher since May 2023 · Josh Downs · Superflex
02k4k6k2023202420252026Trade valuedaily from here
Clearly higher over the last month · Josh Downs · 1QB
1.2k1.4k1.6k1.8k2k2.2kOct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Clearly lower over the last 3 months · Josh Downs · 1QB
1k1.5k2k2.5k3kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower over the last year · Josh Downs · 1QB
1k2k3k4kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher since May 2023 · Josh Downs · 1QB
02k4k6k2023202420252026Trade valuedaily from here

History: Our Value history: weekly before 2026-09-29, daily from then. Before the daily values began the line follows the weekly blend, rescaled to meet the daily line where they join.

Market vs Our Value

Superflex
2,057market · Our Value 1,889
1QB
2,010market · Our Value 1,857

The market prices him a bit above Our Value. Market = the trade market's value (12-team PPR).

What Josh Downs has actually traded for

Based on 83 real trades in the last 90 days where he was the main piece, Josh Downs fetched clearly less than his listed value.

In today's points, that is about 1,588 against a listed value of 2,057. Real trades are running clearly below Our Value.

Three real packages

  1. 2028 2nd · Oct 2026
  2. 2028 1st · Sep 2026
  3. Michael Penix (QB) · Aug 2026

Based on 83 real trades in 81 public Sleeper dynasty leagues. Only trades where he was the main piece count, each valued on the day it happened. Listed value now: 2,057 · Our Value 1,889. Trades that look lopsided or collusive are left out, and trades with an asset we cannot price are not counted. See what managers are trading this week.

See every real trade for Josh Downs →

Expectation vs reality (2023 rookie class)

Drafted as WR6 at 2.08; now worth about an early 2nd (the 2.02 slot): far over expectation.

Value vs the slot expectation (Superflex)
05001kslot expectation 291Draft+1y+2y+3yNow

Best season: WR35 (PPR), 13.1 PPG vs 11.1 expected at his slot. Neither: no top-24 season, but not a bust either.

Slot expectation = the market value of his rookie-draft slot (Superflex) times the realized-return calibration behind the Draft ROI grade. Values from our stored Our Value history. See the 2023 class and every class.

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