BIG BOARD DYNASTY

QB · LAC · age 28.7

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert: dynasty value clearly lower than 30 days ago; QB20 in Superflex

Dynasty verdict: Falling and priced below Our Value — cheaper than our model says he is worth. (30 days: clearly lower; market clearly below Our Value.)

Superflex value
3,299QB20 · #57 overall (12-team PPR)
1QB value
1,724QB20 · #109 overall (12-team PPR)
Age
28.7QB · LAC · age 28.7
Team
LACQB

How his value moved (Superflex)

7 days
▼ A bit lowermarket value
30 days
▼ Clearly lowermarket value
1 year
▼ Clearly lowermarket value

Dynasty value over time

Clearly lower over the last month · Justin Herbert · Superflex
3k3.5k4k4.5kOct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Clearly lower over the last 3 months · Justin Herbert · Superflex
3k3.5k4k4.5k5kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Clearly lower over the last year · Justin Herbert · Superflex
3k3.5k4k4.5k5kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher since Apr 2020 · Justin Herbert · Superflex
02k4k6k8k2020202220242026Trade valuedaily from here
A bit lower over the last month · Justin Herbert · 1QB
1.6k1.8k2k2.2kOct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Clearly lower over the last 3 months · Justin Herbert · 1QB
1.6k1.8k2k2.2k2.4k2.6kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Clearly lower over the last year · Justin Herbert · 1QB
1k1.5k2k2.5kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher since Apr 2020 · Justin Herbert · 1QB
01k2k3k4k2020202220242026Trade valuedaily from here

History: Our Value history: weekly before 2026-09-29, daily from then. Before the daily values began the line follows the weekly blend, rescaled to meet the daily line where they join.

Market vs Our Value

Superflex
3,299market · Our Value 4,106
1QB
1,724market · Our Value 1,629

The market prices him clearly below Our Value. Market = the trade market's value (12-team PPR).

What Justin Herbert has actually traded for

Based on 92 real trades in the last 90 days where he was the main piece, Justin Herbert fetched about his listed value.

In today's points, that is about 3,306 against a listed value of 3,299. Real trades are running clearly below Our Value.

Three real packages

  1. Tank Dell (WR) + C.J. Stroud (QB) · Oct 2026
  2. Kenny Gainwell (RB) + Cam Ward (QB) + 2028 1st · Sep 2026
  3. Tyler Shough (QB) · Sep 2026

Based on 92 real trades in 88 public Sleeper dynasty leagues. Only trades where he was the main piece count, each valued on the day it happened. Listed value now: 3,299 · Our Value 4,106. Trades that look lopsided or collusive are left out, and trades with an asset we cannot price are not counted. See what managers are trading this week.

See every real trade for Justin Herbert →

Expectation vs reality (2020 rookie class)

Drafted as QB3 at 1.09; now worth more than the 1.01 slot: 3.0× his slot value.

Value vs the slot expectation (Superflex)
05k10k15kslot expectation 2,064Draft+1y+2y+3yNow

Best season: QB2 in 2020 (PPR), 23.2 PPG vs 12.7 expected at his slot. Hit: a top-12 QB season (QB2) in 2020.

Slot expectation = the market value of his rookie-draft slot (Superflex) times the realized-return calibration behind the Draft ROI grade. Values from our stored Our Value history. See the 2020 class and every class.

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