BIG BOARD DYNASTY

QB · ATL · age 28.7

Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa: dynasty value far lower than 30 days ago; QB52 in Superflex

Dynasty verdict: Falling and priced below Our Value — cheaper than our model says he is worth. (30 days: far lower; market far below Our Value.)

Superflex value
354QB52 · #273 overall (12-team PPR)
1QB value
194QB52 · #307 overall (12-team PPR)
Age
28.7QB · ATL · age 28.7
Team
ATLQB

How his value moved (Superflex)

7 days
▼ Clearly lowermarket value
30 days
▼ Far lowermarket value
1 year
▼ Far lowermarket value

Dynasty value over time

Far lower over the last month · Tua Tagovailoa · Superflex
200300400500600700Oct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Far lower over the last 3 months · Tua Tagovailoa · Superflex
2004006008001kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower over the last year · Tua Tagovailoa · Superflex
05001k1.5k2kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower since Apr 2020 · Tua Tagovailoa · Superflex
02k4k6k8k2020202220242026Trade valuedaily from here
Clearly lower over the last month · Tua Tagovailoa · 1QB
100150200250300350Oct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Far lower over the last 3 months · Tua Tagovailoa · 1QB
0200400600Aug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower over the last year · Tua Tagovailoa · 1QB
05001k1.5k2kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower since Apr 2020 · Tua Tagovailoa · 1QB
05k10k15k2020202220242026Trade valuedaily from here

History: Our Value history: weekly before 2026-09-29, daily from then. Before the daily values began the line follows the weekly blend, rescaled to meet the daily line where they join.

Market vs Our Value

Superflex
354market · Our Value 651
1QB
194market · Our Value 317

The market prices him far below Our Value. Market = the trade market's value (12-team PPR).

What Tua Tagovailoa has actually traded for

Based on 20 real trades in the last 90 days where he was the main piece, Tua Tagovailoa fetched far more than his listed value.

In today's points, that is about 491 against a listed value of 354. Real trades are running clearly below Our Value.

Three real packages

  1. 2027 2nd · Aug 2026
  2. 2029 2nd · Sep 2026
  3. 2027 4th · Oct 2026

Based on 20 real trades in 20 public Sleeper dynasty leagues. Only trades where he was the main piece count, each valued on the day it happened. Listed value now: 354 · Our Value 651. Trades that look lopsided or collusive are left out, and trades with an asset we cannot price are not counted. See what managers are trading this week.

Expectation vs reality (2020 rookie class)

Drafted as QB2 at 1.03; now worth about an early 2nd (the 2.04 slot): far under expectation.

Value vs the slot expectation (Superflex)
02k4k6kslot expectation 3,548Draft+1y+2y+3yNow

Best season: QB15 (PPR), 18.3 PPG vs 16.9 expected at his slot. Neither: no top-12 season, but not a bust either.

Slot expectation = the market value of his rookie-draft slot (Superflex) times the realized-return calibration behind the Draft ROI grade. Values from our stored Our Value history. See the 2020 class and every class.

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