QB · HOU · age 28.1
Davis Mills
Davis Mills: dynasty value far lower than 30 days ago; QB66 in Superflex
Dynasty verdict: Falling and priced below Our Value — cheaper than our model says he is worth. (30 days: far lower; market far below Our Value.)
- Superflex value
- 68QB66 · #367 overall (12-team PPR)
- 1QB value
- 65QB61 · #361 overall (12-team PPR)
- Age
- 28.1QB · HOU · age 28.1
- Team
- HOUQB
How his value moved (Superflex)
- 7 days
- ▼ Far lowermarket value
- 30 days
- ▼ Far lowermarket value
- 1 year
- ▼ Clearly lowermarket value
Dynasty value over time
History: Our Value history: weekly before 2026-09-29, daily from then. Before the daily values began the line follows the weekly blend, rescaled to meet the daily line where they join.
Market vs Our Value
- Superflex
- 68market · Our Value 287
- 1QB
- 65market · Our Value 224
The market prices him far below Our Value. Market = the trade market's value (12-team PPR).
Expectation vs reality (2021 rookie class)
Drafted as QB8 at 3.02; now worth about a 5th-round-or-later rookie pick (the 6.03 slot): in line with expectation.
Best season: QB21 (PPR), 12.9 PPG vs 8.2 expected at his slot. Neither: no top-12 season, but not a bust either.
Slot expectation = the market value of his rookie-draft slot (Superflex) times the realized-return calibration behind the Draft ROI grade. Values from our stored Our Value history. See the 2021 class and every class.
QBs valued near Davis Mills
- Trey Lance — QB63 · LAC · 109
- Cole Payton — QB64 · PHI · 88
- Garrett Nussmeier — QB65 · KC · 78
- Taylen Green — QB67 · FA · 67
- Athan Kaliakmanis — QB62 · FA · —
- Kenny Pickett — QB68 · CAR · 54