BIG BOARD DYNASTY

QB · LAC · age 26.5

Trey Lance

Trey Lance: dynasty value far higher than 30 days ago; QB63 in Superflex

Dynasty verdict: Rising but still priced below Our Value — our model sees more room. (30 days: far higher; market far below Our Value.)

Superflex value
109QB63 · #346 overall (12-team PPR)
1QB value
49QB65 · #374 overall (12-team PPR)
Age
26.5QB · LAC · age 26.5
Team
LACQB

How his value moved (Superflex)

7 days
▲ Far highermarket value
30 days
▲ Far highermarket value
1 year
▲ Far highermarket value

Dynasty value over time

Far higher over the last month · Trey Lance · Superflex
050100150Oct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Far higher over the last 3 months · Trey Lance · Superflex
0200400600Aug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher over the last year · Trey Lance · Superflex
05001kOct '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower since May 2021 · Trey Lance · Superflex
050k100k150k200k2021202320242026Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher over the last month · Trey Lance · 1QB
0204060Oct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Clearly higher over the last 3 months · Trey Lance · 1QB
020406080Aug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far higher over the last year · Trey Lance · 1QB
050100150200Oct '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower since May 2021 · Trey Lance · 1QB
05k10k15k20k2021202320242026Trade valuedaily from here

History: Our Value history: weekly before 2026-09-29, daily from then. Before the daily values began the line follows the weekly blend, rescaled to meet the daily line where they join.

Market vs Our Value

Superflex
109market · Our Value 267
1QB
49market · Our Value 213

The market prices him far below Our Value. Market = the trade market's value (12-team PPR).

Expectation vs reality (2021 rookie class)

Drafted as QB3 at 1.05; now worth about a 5th-round-or-later rookie pick (the 6.03 slot): far under expectation.

Value vs the slot expectation (Superflex)
02k4k6kslot expectation 3,363Draft+1y+2y+3yNow

Best season: QB39 (PPR), 11.2 PPG vs 17.2 expected at his slot. Bust: no top-36 season in three years and value under a quarter of draft-time value.

Slot expectation = the market value of his rookie-draft slot (Superflex) times the realized-return calibration behind the Draft ROI grade. Values from our stored Our Value history. See the 2021 class and every class.

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