BIG BOARD DYNASTY

QB · MIN · age 29.3

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray: dynasty value clearly lower than 30 days ago; QB31 in Superflex

Dynasty verdict: Falling and priced below Our Value — cheaper than our model says he is worth. (30 days: clearly lower; market clearly below Our Value.)

Superflex value
1,768QB31 · #119 overall (12-team PPR)
1QB value
928QB31 · #196 overall (12-team PPR)
Age
29.3QB · MIN · age 29.3
Team
MINQB

How his value moved (Superflex)

7 days
▼ Clearly lowermarket value
30 days
▼ Clearly lowermarket value
1 year
▼ Far lowermarket value

Dynasty value over time

Clearly lower over the last month · Kyler Murray · Superflex
1.5k2k2.5k3kOct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Clearly lower over the last 3 months · Kyler Murray · Superflex
1.5k2k2.5k3kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower over the last year · Kyler Murray · Superflex
1.5k2k2.5k3k3.5kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower since Apr 2020 · Kyler Murray · Superflex
02k4k6k8k10k2020202220242026Trade valuedaily from here
Clearly lower over the last month · Kyler Murray · 1QB
8001k1.2k1.4k1.6kOct 12Oct 22Nov 1Nov 11Trade value
Clearly lower over the last 3 months · Kyler Murray · 1QB
8001k1.2k1.4k1.6kAug 7Sep 8Oct 10Nov 11Trade valuedaily from here
Far lower over the last year · Kyler Murray · 1QB
01k2k3kNov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26Trade valuedaily from here
Clearly lower since May 2019 · Kyler Murray · 1QB
05k10k15k2019202120242026Trade valuedaily from here

History: Our Value history: weekly before 2026-09-29, daily from then. Before the daily values began the line follows the weekly blend, rescaled to meet the daily line where they join.

Market vs Our Value

Superflex
1,768market · Our Value 2,166
1QB
928market · Our Value 893

The market prices him clearly below Our Value. Market = the trade market's value (12-team PPR).

What Kyler Murray has actually traded for

Based on 80 real trades in the last 90 days where he was the main piece, Kyler Murray fetched a bit less than his listed value.

In today's points, that is about 1,657 against a listed value of 1,768. Real trades are running clearly below Our Value.

Three real packages

  1. 2028 1st + 2028 3rd · Oct 2026
  2. Jameson Williams (WR) · Oct 2026
  3. Eli Stowers (TE) + 2027 2nd · Oct 2026

Based on 80 real trades in 79 public Sleeper dynasty leagues. Only trades where he was the main piece count, each valued on the day it happened. Listed value now: 1,768 · Our Value 2,166. Trades that look lopsided or collusive are left out, and trades with an asset we cannot price are not counted. See what managers are trading this week.

See every real trade for Kyler Murray →

Expectation vs reality (2019 rookie class)

Drafted as QB1 at 1.12; now worth about an early 2nd (the 2.03 slot): clearly under expectation.

Value vs the slot expectation (1QB)
01k2k3k4kslot expectation 468Draft+1y+2y+3yNow

Best season: QB3 in 2019 (PPR), 23.9 PPG vs 17.0 expected at his slot. Hit: a top-12 QB season (QB3) in 2019.

Slot expectation = the market value of his rookie-draft slot (1QB) times the realized-return calibration behind the Draft ROI grade. Values from our stored Our Value history. See the 2019 class and every class.

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